ASK Mr. FANTASY

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Scott Drattell, New York:
Hey, you've been great, but why no love for Javy Vazquez? 35th on your pitchers' list? He had 16 wins for the Expos with a month to go last season. What's up?

Mr. Fantasy:
Here's what makes Mr. Fantasy different than most so-called fantasy experts: I listen. One reason I post my draft ratings on this site so early in the spring is to get feedback from the masses. Clearly, Vazquez is one player I have underrated. But here's my biggest problem with the young right-hander: He plays for the Expos. Montreal, in its final year of existence, has clearly fallen to the bottom of the National League East. And it's not even close. Vazquez started 16 games against N.L. East teams last season and the Expos went 10-6 in those games. With the Mets and Marlins having improved, I can see those numbers being 8-8 or 7-9 this year even if he pitches better. He lost 11 games last season despite a 3.42 ERA. In a lame-duck season, I just don't see the Expos giving him the type of support that's going to help him improve on that record. OK, maybe he's a Top 25 pitcher, but give me Bud Smith anyday.

Joe Galluppi, Glendora, Calif.:
What's up with Bobby Abreu's ranking? I have seen him as high as a first-round pick in National League-only leagues, yet you have him 23rd among outfielders. What don't you see that everyone else sees?

Mr. Fantasy:
In this case, it's less about Abreu and more about the 22 outfielders I rate ahead of him. The talented Phillies slugger belted 31 homers last year, drove in 110 runs and batted .289. That sounds good, but really, it's only decent when compared to other elite-level outfielders. A first-round pick in N.L.-only leagues? Are you kidding? Looking just at outfielders, he's not even in the same ballpark as Barry Bonds, Sammy Sosa, Larry Walker, Luis Gonzalez and Vladimir Guerrero. And while it's close, I'll take Lance Berkman, Chipper Jones, Gary Sheffield, Shawn Green and Brian Giles ahead of him without thinking twice. Ken Griffey, Adam Dunn and J.D. Drew? Debatable, but I like their potential. Again, nothing against Abreu. He could be a 35-homer/115-RBI/.300-hitting outfielder this season -- and he'd STILL not rate as an N.L.-only first-rounder.

Matthew Flynn, Tuckerton, N.J.:
In a 10-team league where we keep five players, who would you keep out of: Randy Johnson, Matt Morris, Freddy Garcia, Alex Rodriguez, Albert Pujols, Barry Bonds, Chipper Jones and Lance Berkman?

Mr. Fantasy:
Wow. That's an impressive list. Let's start with the no-brainers: Johnson, A-Rod and Bonds. That leaves two incredibly talented young pitchers, a budding superstar at third base, a top outfielder who qualifies as a third baseman and a young standout outfielder who plays in one of baseball's best hitters' ballparks. You could make an argument for any of the five. It's a tough call, but I'm going to go with Morris and Pujols. Morris gets the nod over Garcia because one plays in the National League and the other in the American, and that can make a difference. And give me Pujols over Jones (and definitely over Berkman) because Tony La Russa absolutely gushes over his third baseman. He could be the A-Rod of his position for the next 10 years. Now that's a keeper!

Angelo Mastrogiacomo, Pittsburgh:
Where is Alfonso Soriano batting in the lineup this season?

Mr. Fantasy:
When Joe Torre went to spring training, his intention was to experiment with Derek Jeter in the leadoff spot and Soriano hitting No. 2. Will that be the order in which they hit on Opening Day? Only time will tell. A move to the No. 2 spot would increase Soriano's value significantly. He's sure to score more runs (hitting in front of Jason Giambi and Bernie Williams) and he'll get a lot more RBI opportunities with Jeter on base ahead of him. His batting average might suffer some -- a No. 2 hitter is supposed to give himself up on occasion to advance runners -- but he'll more than make up for that in production.

Danny O'Callaghan, Walnut Creek, Calif:
I'm looking to draft a cheap potential keeper starting pitcher. What are your thoughts on Kurt Ainsworth, Ryan Jensen and Brandon Duckworth?

Mr. Fantasy:
Jensen of the Giants and Duckworth of the Phillies were impressive in their first major-league stints last season and it wouldn't surprise me -- especially in Duckworth's case -- if they had decent careers in the bigs. But Ainsworth could be something special. The Giants have brought him along slowly, choosing to promote Jensen last year even though Ainsworth was considered a much better prospect. Such caution often is an indication the organization expects the prospect to be a real gem. Cheap potential keeper? If Ainsworth's still cheap, I'd recommend investing now. He's not going to be cheap for long.

Scott Banko, Atlanta:
I am playing fantasy baseball for the first time this year and need some help. I am playing in a 10-team league with an automated draft. We are allowed to rank the players and then have to pick which position we want in which round. Is there a particular way I should pick my team?

Mr. Fantasy:
My approach to a draft like this is to draw a line on each position draft list that indicates where the big dropoff exists. Take shortstops, for example. There are five standouts: Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, Rich Aurilia, Miguel Tejada and Nomar Garciaparra. I'd really like one of these five. So the question becomes: How long can I wait before taking one? Let the guessing game begin. I'd take my catcher in the first round, all but assuring I'd get either Mike Piazza or Ivan Rodriguez, then grab my shortstop in Round 2 and go for a third baseman (Albert Pujols, Chipper Jones or Phil Nevin) in Round 3. I really don't think there's any hurry to get a first baseman, second baseman or relievers, so starting in Round 4, I'd begin alternating between outfielders and starting pitchers for at least six rounds. If you use a designated hitter in your league, then make it eight rounds, giving you four solid outfielders (three and a D.H.) and a nice four-man pitching rotation.

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